There is now sufficient evidence available to governments and the community to seriously consider the implications of our changing weather patterns.
Indeed, the implications of climate change are bigger than we think.
While some people think climate change is a problem for scientists, the reality is that climate change is already forcing us to think differently about the simplest aspects of our lives.
This framework will help you to understand the implications of climate change and take you through a series of steps to help you and your organisation consider how climate change will affect sport and recreation in Western Australia.
What are the big impacts of climate change?
Experts predict Western Australia's climate will change in a number of major ways over the next 30 years.
- WA will be hotter, particularly inland regions, by between half a degree and two degrees Celsius.
- WA will be drier, particularly in the South West.
- More intense droughts, heatwaves and fires.
- More intense storms, floods, rainfall events and tropical cyclones.
- Sea levels will rise.
And for sport and recreation this means...
Reduced rainfall and increased evaporation
- Reduced irrigation of dedicated sports grounds and public open space.
- Increased evaporation requiring more water for existing turf.
- Reduced playing surface quality.
- Damage to facilities such as tennis courts and cricket pitches.
- Forced, permanent or temporary closure of facilities.
- Increased evaporation at open water facilities.
- Reduced access to shared facilities.
- Reduced flushing of waterways.
- More potentially harmful algal blooms limiting direct contact recreational water pursuits.
- Adverse impacts on the persity of natural bushland, particularly for water-sensitive species.
- Alternative water supplies become more expensive.
- More frequent monitoring and reporting of facilities, water-use efficiencies.
- Greater reliance on user-pays for facilities and services
- Compromised fitness-related health programs.
- Reduced opportunity for freshwater-based recreational pursuits.
- Increased coral bleaching and reef death affecting recreational diving.
- Limitations on school-based physical education programs or more indoor programs.
- More frequent heat stress-related events.
- Tropical zone marine stingers species may extend southward.
- Increased demand for water-based recreational pursuits.
- Increased exposure to UV radiation.
- Increased exposure to disease-causing agents in recreational waters.
- Reduced participation in outdoor fitness-related health initiatives.
- Summer daytime events rescheduled to evening fixtures.
- Funding demands for sports field lighting and air conditioned indoor facilities.
- Financial stress on poorer clubs due to the cost of night events.
- Increased respiratory and cardiovascular diseases.
- Increased exposure to vector-borne diseases such as malaria.
- Increased risk of bushfires in natural recreation areas (parks and bushland).
More frequent and extreme natural events
- More frequent and severe floods, fires and cyclones.
- Greater risk of storm or fire damage to facilities and infrastructure.
- Significant financial implications for ticketed major events.
- Increased flood risk for facilities located within multiple-use corridors.
- Increased risk of damage to coastal facilities.
- 100-year flood models may underestimate the likelihood of extreme events.
- Potential structural engineering issues from extreme events.
- Potential geotechnical problems from extracting too much groundwater.
- Difficulty in obtaining extreme event insurance.
- Increased insurance costs may be prohibitive for individual club or group schemes.
- Greater requirement for recreation centres to provide emergency facilities during extreme weather events.
- Disruption to electricity supplies during extreme events.
- Economic stress for facilities managers through loss of income and assets.
Sea level rise
- Dislocation of facilities and communities in low-lying areas.
- Greater risk of storm surge in low-lying areas.
- Increased mosquito nuisance in low-lying areas.
- Adverse impacts on freshwater ecosystems.
- Increased beach erosion from changing wave activity making swimming and surfing dangerous.
A framework to assess and respond to the impacts of climate change
Below is a strategic framework that follows a logical sequence to help at an industry sector or organisational level to respond to climate change.
- Strategy: Climate change adaptation strategy
- Vision: Preserving the right to recreate and maintain an active Western Australian lifestyle
- Themes: The five main climate change themes
- Outcomes: A range of focused outcomes for each theme
- Process: A process of scenario planning with evaluation and feedback
- Actions: Strategic, policy, benchmarking and awareness raising actions
- Projects: Integrated suite of metropolitan and regional projects
- Stakeholders: All levels of government, parks, leisure, sport and recreational sectors
The framework uses a series of integrated metropolitan and regional projects and actions across a range of climate change themes to develop appropriate responses.
A process known as adaptive scenario planning will document the outcomes of the various projects and evaluate their success. Over time, a suite of responses to climate change applicable across Western Australia will be available for the industry to apply.
This systematic approach will allow a timely review of the resource implications of actions undertaken within the framework. It will facilitate the orderly provision of resources together with a clear identification of contingencies required should worse-than-predicted climate change impacts be experienced.
The emerging influence of climate change may affect low-cost, regular community-based sport and recreation participation.
A further cost may be a diminished sense of community as a result of a lack of physical activity and reduced involvement of people in sport and recreation clubs.
The only certainty associated with climate change is that there will be greater uncertainty.
Climate change will be accompanied by a complex range of direct and indirect impacts with many unknown variables necessitating a range of socio-cultural/community responses.
The best model for strategic management in the face of complexity and uncertainty will be an industry framework for climate change.
Early intervention through strategies, policies and actions will provide cost-effective solutions. The industry must work in partnership to ensure these strategies work together and do not compete.
It is vital that urban green spaces are recognised as underpinning the very fabric of our sport, leisure and recreational industries and that water used to maintain them is considered to be necessary. Green spaces also mitigate the impacts of climate change.
As industry practitioners, it is essential that we demonstrate maximum water-use efficiency across all sectors and develop and maintain a culture of excellence and continuous improvement across all industry sectors.